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3. Results
The results obtained with the new method to compute asteroid proper
elements can be better described by distinguishing the stable and the
unstable orbits. A large majority of the 10,265 initial conditions
correspond to ostensibly regular orbits (at least over the tested time
span), and for these we could determine synthetic proper elements with
very good accuracy and stability in time: e.g., in
of the cases
ep and
had standard deviations (in the running box test)
less than 0.001, and ap less than 0.0003 AU. In
of the
cases the RMS was even less than 0.0003 in ep and less than 0.0001
in
(see Section 3.3). The typical improvement
with respect to the analytically derived proper elements is by a
factor of more than 3. In terms of the so-called standard
metrics (Zappalà et al. [1990]) used to define asteroid
families, this would imply a typical error of the relative velocity of
family members with respect to the ``parent body'' on the order of
m/s (to be compared with
m/s for the
analytical results).
On the other hand, in the basic 2 Myr run
of the cases had the
standard deviations of either ep or
larger than 0.003,
were chaotic with Lyapunov times shorter than 10,000 yr
(Section 3.3). At the extreme end of the
stability/instability spectrum, we detected 31 ``pathological'' cases
for which the changes with time of the proper elements and/or
frequencies were excessively large, thus the values as given in the
output are unreliable (Section 3.2). Among these
pathological orbits there are even 9 cases in which the orbits become
hyperbolic, as a result of close approaches to some major planets, and
of course we could not derive proper elements at all
(Section 3.1).
For all the asteroids in our input catalog, with the only exception of
the hyperbolic orbits, we have produced proper elements and error
estimates as described in Section 2. These data are
available online in three separate files: prop.syn, sigma.syn, and
delta.syn, containing the proper elements, their standard deviations
and maximum excursions, respectively, plus some additional information
(LCE's, run code, RMS of residuals for the mean longitude linear fit).
They are available2 from the AstDyS web site.
Next: 3.1 Hyperbolic cases
Up: Synthetic proper elementsfor outer
Previous: 2.4 Semimajor axis and
Andrea Milani
2000-10-03